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Jan 24, 2013
01/13
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we need to protect their environment. we have a strict quarantine system to protect the integrity of the environment. forty years on, it's still a class-a nature reserve. it's our job to look after them. ...it's my job to look after it. ♪ >>> welcome back to "the kudlow report." i'm larry kudlow. in this half hour the house passes a bill to suspend the debt ceiling but the spending sequester cuts are still set to kick in on march 1st and i hope they do. now house speaker john boehner says president obama is out to annihilate the republican party. we'll talk about all that with new hampshire senator kelly ayotte and our political panel in just a few moments. >> also, big time golfers phil mickelson, tiger woods, lebron james and derek jeter are all supply siders. we'll explain that later this hour. >> i wasn't involved in the talking points process. as i understand it, as i've been told, it was a typical interagency process where staff, including from the state department all participated to try to come up with whatever
we need to protect their environment. we have a strict quarantine system to protect the integrity of the environment. forty years on, it's still a class-a nature reserve. it's our job to look after them. ...it's my job to look after it. ♪ >>> welcome back to "the kudlow report." i'm larry kudlow. in this half hour the house passes a bill to suspend the debt ceiling but the spending sequester cuts are still set to kick in on march 1st and i hope they do. now house speaker...
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Jan 28, 2013
01/13
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we're investing in the business as if it were a normal environment. it's like if you were running a pizza shop and the cost of mozzarella was higher, you wouldn't stop selling pizzas. you know, we try to be long term there and think it through. >> what policies will create jobs? that's what we're all trying to figure out. how do you create jobs. >> if we had done the grand bargain, it doesn't have to be exactly the one that anyone wants it. that showed that america can make decisions. it set a more effective tax system. it reduced taxes going forward. and i think we could have had a booming environment. i may be wrong. that's my own personal belief. if we had a grand bargain, america will take off. i think it's very important for america to get strong. the rest of the world needs us to. europe still has its issues. i think it's important that america kind of took the lead here. >> what does your gut tell you about all of this money moving into stocks recently? do you think this is sustainable? >> yeah, if the economy grows, it's sustainable. you know,
we're investing in the business as if it were a normal environment. it's like if you were running a pizza shop and the cost of mozzarella was higher, you wouldn't stop selling pizzas. you know, we try to be long term there and think it through. >> what policies will create jobs? that's what we're all trying to figure out. how do you create jobs. >> if we had done the grand bargain, it doesn't have to be exactly the one that anyone wants it. that showed that america can make...
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Jan 31, 2013
01/13
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who would leave his job to start a new business in that environment? okay. retail sales weren't that bad. but they nose dived right at the end of the quarter. retailers were afraid to restock inventory, figuring that spending would drop off the cliff right along with the nation's finances. it was all in all a very bad time for our nation. now, overlay the storm of the century for the northeast, one that shut down the wealthiest area of the country for several weeks and caused what ultimately may be $100 billion in damage. you had the physical shutdown from the storm neatly and miserably dovetailing with the mental shutdown caused by washington. the result, the abysmal and artificially reduced gross domestic product number we saw today. most money managers are fixated on that top-down analysis. they look at those numbers, they care, they correctly detected the cessation the business in this country was undergoing. they pulled in their horns because of it. some cases, dramatically. i understood it. say we came in to 2013 over the fiscal cliff. i would say the
who would leave his job to start a new business in that environment? okay. retail sales weren't that bad. but they nose dived right at the end of the quarter. retailers were afraid to restock inventory, figuring that spending would drop off the cliff right along with the nation's finances. it was all in all a very bad time for our nation. now, overlay the storm of the century for the northeast, one that shut down the wealthiest area of the country for several weeks and caused what ultimately...
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Jan 26, 2013
01/13
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to me what people don't realize is what the environment's just plain gotten better. think about the guests i had on the show last night, rick hamada the ceo of avnet. when his company reported he had very little good to say. rick came on the show and said that business was fundamentally sound and his company came in and was buying stock hand over fist after being out of the market when the stock was higher because it was now such a terrific opportunity in the high 20s. sure enough the report yesterday and it was terrific and yes the stock's down 35 and change. well above where it was before the previous shortfall. the moral of these stories this market forgives, forgets, and then goes higher. which is why most of the weakness you see in individual stocks are indeed b.o., buying opportunities. and boy, this b.o. smells good. [ male announcer ] when we built the cadillac ats from the ground up to be the world's best sport sedan... ♪ ...people noticed. ♪ the all-new cadillac ats -- 2013 north american car of the year. ♪ for a limited time, take advantage of this e
to me what people don't realize is what the environment's just plain gotten better. think about the guests i had on the show last night, rick hamada the ceo of avnet. when his company reported he had very little good to say. rick came on the show and said that business was fundamentally sound and his company came in and was buying stock hand over fist after being out of the market when the stock was higher because it was now such a terrific opportunity in the high 20s. sure enough the report...
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Jan 28, 2013
01/13
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that's a shocking environment for stocks. stocks fell 10% to 15%. >> but still we've had people say that we can still do 4%. that that's just normal. that's just normalized -- >> over time. >> long-term yield. there would be some trepidation initially but that's not going to be something that would -- >> -- health environment -- >> >> we're going to get a lousy gdp number. >> but that should be backward looking. hopefully the market knows this is in the past, this isn't now. i think all the sentiments this week we have them from every country i think except japan business sentiment surveys coming out. that's a much more forward looking indicator. we're going to be watching that and housing. those are going to drive things as well as talking about earnings. we have 20% of the week. that's going to be a lot -- >> -- of the earnings season. now is when stocks usually begin to slide after a 4% rally in the two weeks before and al alcoa we could be hitting a rough patch as well. >> you've got a big lump money and you're like -- >>
that's a shocking environment for stocks. stocks fell 10% to 15%. >> but still we've had people say that we can still do 4%. that that's just normal. that's just normalized -- >> over time. >> long-term yield. there would be some trepidation initially but that's not going to be something that would -- >> -- health environment -- >> >> we're going to get a lousy gdp number. >> but that should be backward looking. hopefully the market knows this is in the...
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Jan 28, 2013
01/13
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macro environment for the euro is decidedly upwards. that's not to say that currency may not weaken to the u.s. dollar but there is not that kind of explosion that people were hoping for. so i would avoid being short things like this. particularly as retail investor. where you're not able to sit in central banking meetings. >> 134, 135 is where you're sitting, the euro has been. 134 1/2. joey? >> anadarco was a stock we were talking about 80, it got there today. look, if you're a near term trader, you take some off fund manically. the story changed for anadarko. i think this is a name you own. >> stepm? >> such a good performer. not even that expensive. the long-term average is about 15 1/2 times. i think theme parks will do very well this quarter and into 2013 continue to do good. in terms of studio as well. and one interesting thing about disney is they spent the last couple of years, a ton of money, on investment, right? that goes away in 2013 s think you might have margin. on a pull-back, i would be a buyer. >> let's talk some waste
macro environment for the euro is decidedly upwards. that's not to say that currency may not weaken to the u.s. dollar but there is not that kind of explosion that people were hoping for. so i would avoid being short things like this. particularly as retail investor. where you're not able to sit in central banking meetings. >> 134, 135 is where you're sitting, the euro has been. 134 1/2. joey? >> anadarco was a stock we were talking about 80, it got there today. look, if you're a...
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Jan 28, 2013
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consumers are continuing to face economic challenges and this uncertain economic environment sn environment. >> you know, jackie just mentioned coach. you will bring us through some winners and sinners too. >> everyone is in on this trade. the last five years haven't been the best on the 50e cannot my but a little retail therapy helped investors along the way. since 2007, three of the top ten of the s&p 500 are consumer discretionary companies. also, making up nearly half of the 42 component that have doubled in that time period with those bar bell retail traids providing investors with the highest returns. discounters including ross stores, tjx, dollar tree and family dollar, all gaining a hundred percent or more since the october 2007 peak, but so too have ralph lauren and fossil on the high ends. on the dow, home depot come in as the top performer. wal-mart number four. so home depot and wal-mart are two that are up double digits. consumer discretionary groups, both leading the broader s&p 500. but the bulk of retail earners are yet to hit the tape. that could change everything. especial
consumers are continuing to face economic challenges and this uncertain economic environment sn environment. >> you know, jackie just mentioned coach. you will bring us through some winners and sinners too. >> everyone is in on this trade. the last five years haven't been the best on the 50e cannot my but a little retail therapy helped investors along the way. since 2007, three of the top ten of the s&p 500 are consumer discretionary companies. also, making up nearly half of the...
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Jan 29, 2013
01/13
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one is we still want an environment and policies that support medical innovation. two, we want to also make sure that we have policies that support the improvement of the quality of health care in this country. and third, we also want policies that support the competitiveness of u.s. businesses. if we're able to generate policies that engender that and foster that kind of general we think we can have a very conducive pharmaceutical industry and biotech industry in this country. >> i have a question for you. this is a layman's question. are you finding, what's the split of revenue for domestic versus international and are you growing faster domestically or internationally and in the international markets you face a lot of regulatory pressure that you don't that's different than what you see here? that's three questions in one. >> today our business is split about 50/50. half the business in the u.s., and half outside the u.s. from a regulatory standpoint we've seen a harmonization between the u.s. and europe. obviously in some of the more developed markets like chin
one is we still want an environment and policies that support medical innovation. two, we want to also make sure that we have policies that support the improvement of the quality of health care in this country. and third, we also want policies that support the competitiveness of u.s. businesses. if we're able to generate policies that engender that and foster that kind of general we think we can have a very conducive pharmaceutical industry and biotech industry in this country. >> i have...
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Jan 31, 2013
01/13
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>> stocks can do well in a slow growth environment. and i think a lost investors are underestimating the strength of the market and the economy. we had an good gdp -- >> and the number-doctor. >> for fourth quarter. we can ceci 2% with multiple extensions and descent earnings. the markets can do well. >> what do you like? ? >> we think that -- >> too late to get in then? >> not too late. housing turned in 2012. stocks have been extremely well, but we are coming off the housing declining. and we think that housing stocks have a lot further to go the next couple of years. >> i will pinpoint, how do you play housing then? >> you either play in a deversefide manner pb homeowners and is you lie chain, even home delot. and eagle materials supplying, building supplies forth commercial andes have den rnl. you look at a lot of the secretary poerps we think it'll do well as housing just continue to put better and better numbers going forward. >> you are playing more defense, aren't you? >> i think the emerging markets have more room to run. i th
>> stocks can do well in a slow growth environment. and i think a lost investors are underestimating the strength of the market and the economy. we had an good gdp -- >> and the number-doctor. >> for fourth quarter. we can ceci 2% with multiple extensions and descent earnings. the markets can do well. >> what do you like? ? >> we think that -- >> too late to get in then? >> not too late. housing turned in 2012. stocks have been extremely well, but we...
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Jan 25, 2013
01/13
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we need to protect their environment. we have a strict quarantine system to protect the integrity of the environment. forty years on, it's still a class-a nature reserve. it's our job to look after them. ...it's my job to look after it. ♪ >>> it is really very hard to tell at this point how long the investigation will take. what i can tell you is that we have all hands on deck. we are working as hard as we can to identify what the failure mode is here and what corrective actions need to be taken. >> all right. so investigators still don't know what cause ad battery fire on board this airplane in boston earlier this month and that spells more bad news for boeing. the company's flagship dreamliner fleet now grounded for the past nine days. no end in sight, frankly. here now is former american airlines chairman bob crandall and jonathan salem baskin. mr. bob crandall it's a pleasure to see you, sir. happy new year. i want to ask you what the national transportation board said late this afternoon, okay. they looked at this
we need to protect their environment. we have a strict quarantine system to protect the integrity of the environment. forty years on, it's still a class-a nature reserve. it's our job to look after them. ...it's my job to look after it. ♪ >>> it is really very hard to tell at this point how long the investigation will take. what i can tell you is that we have all hands on deck. we are working as hard as we can to identify what the failure mode is here and what corrective actions need...
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Jan 29, 2013
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and become the cheapest place on earth and put millions of people to work including in a more secure environment. we are barely scratching the surface of natural gas use. there isn't enough natural gas to sell cars in this country. what a sad set of circumstances. stick with cramer.
and become the cheapest place on earth and put millions of people to work including in a more secure environment. we are barely scratching the surface of natural gas use. there isn't enough natural gas to sell cars in this country. what a sad set of circumstances. stick with cramer.
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Jan 24, 2013
01/13
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revenue is still growing rather slowly but still a pretty good environment. >> all right. here we go. the first of the earnings out from microsoft. we were expecting 75 cents. came in at 76 september, beating by a penny. the revenue was expected to be 21.53 billion. we got 21.46, so a little light on that. let's bring in our guests. max wolf from green press capital and david pearl next tomakers executive vice president and co-chief investment officer and jon fortt, anything to add on what we're seeing so far in the early statements of the microsoft report with stock up half a percent? >> yes, i've got a breakdown. >> 32.5, $1 billion on revenue is what we're getting on at&t right now and 44 cents for the eps is what we're getting for at&t as opposed to the expectation of 45, so it looks as though revenue was a little bit higher than exed, but looks as if the eps was one sent shorter than expected. we'll get back to microsoft right now and talk more about at&t earnings in just a second. >> don't you love it when they all come out at the same time. >> why can't you corporat
revenue is still growing rather slowly but still a pretty good environment. >> all right. here we go. the first of the earnings out from microsoft. we were expecting 75 cents. came in at 76 september, beating by a penny. the revenue was expected to be 21.53 billion. we got 21.46, so a little light on that. let's bring in our guests. max wolf from green press capital and david pearl next tomakers executive vice president and co-chief investment officer and jon fortt, anything to add on...
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Jan 31, 2013
01/13
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this deal does not leave a fair environment for u.s. consumers. this deal, i believe, gets done. this is a company, i would buy on this weakness. >> skyworks, a pop, the move, 11%. doc? >> i want to endorse what tim just said, too. i think they're going to devest some things -- >> they'll have to. >> i like that call. as far as skyworks, we talked about it last night. blowout earnings, great guidance. the stock held most of those gains, melissa, so, you have to be happy about that. >> and we have a drop here for dow chemical, down 7%. mike khouw? >> they announced earnings, 61 cent loss. the street was looking for 34 cents. that loss does include one-time items, though. if you take those out, that's a loss of 33 cents. but the bad news here is they were not talking a very bullish case about what was going on in europe. 5% sales drop there. and in china. some what lower than expected. i wouldn't buy the stock here. >> and we have a drop for baby cologne. >> huh? >> what is that? >> babies produce plenty of smells and one is producing a smell just for babies. a baby cologne, the fr
this deal does not leave a fair environment for u.s. consumers. this deal, i believe, gets done. this is a company, i would buy on this weakness. >> skyworks, a pop, the move, 11%. doc? >> i want to endorse what tim just said, too. i think they're going to devest some things -- >> they'll have to. >> i like that call. as far as skyworks, we talked about it last night. blowout earnings, great guidance. the stock held most of those gains, melissa, so, you have to be happy...
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Jan 31, 2013
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year, and that's what is kind of freaking people out about yesterday's gdp number. >> if that's the environment we're in, how do you allocate capital? >> the big issue is we went through the fiscal cliff, big resolution, exceedingly narrow and a lot of complacency now as people are going in. we still have to get through march, and march is now a lot worse than december was. we've got to get through the new sequestration date on march 1st and got to get through a continuing budget resolution on march 27 and guess what? that's the only place the republicans have any power in this negotiation, and they will probably push a little bit of brinksmanship. >> speaking of sequestration march 1th, they are the ones getting killed, the downside leaders and still decent numbers out of northrup drummond. >> you still didn't tell us how to al gate capital. >> we are long equities, but we have put protection on our equity strategy. in essence, we're long calls. when you put all of that together so that you can participate in the upside and protection on the downside, but as complacent as investors were, as lo
year, and that's what is kind of freaking people out about yesterday's gdp number. >> if that's the environment we're in, how do you allocate capital? >> the big issue is we went through the fiscal cliff, big resolution, exceedingly narrow and a lot of complacency now as people are going in. we still have to get through march, and march is now a lot worse than december was. we've got to get through the new sequestration date on march 1st and got to get through a continuing budget...
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Feb 1, 2013
02/13
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i mean, it's a different political environment here. and we're going to see a more active justice department, particularly with big mergers like this. and so it's -- yeah, big surprise. it probably shouldn't have been. >> harry, the u.s. beer market is important, of course, for corona. i presume ab inbev are looking at this. that, i presume, is the big thing at stake. so is it in their interests here to just come to an agreement so they can still make corona a big selling global beer? >> yeah, i think so. but it kind of sdpendz depends on how big the concession has to be. you know, if they have to give up the brewery which is their largest right on the border, ab has indicated that could be a deal breaker. so it just depends on how big the package is. >> we'll see what happens. harry, thanks for joining us. all right. u.s. futures are called higher. the s&p having its best month since, what, late 2011. and the nasdaq is currently -- the dow is currently kaut called up 65 points. the nasdaq you called up 11.57 points and the s&p up 5 poi
i mean, it's a different political environment here. and we're going to see a more active justice department, particularly with big mergers like this. and so it's -- yeah, big surprise. it probably shouldn't have been. >> harry, the u.s. beer market is important, of course, for corona. i presume ab inbev are looking at this. that, i presume, is the big thing at stake. so is it in their interests here to just come to an agreement so they can still make corona a big selling global beer?...
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Jan 26, 2013
01/13
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we need to protect their environment. we have a strict quarantine system to protect the integrity of the environment. forty years on, it's still a class-a nature reserve. it's our job to look after them. ...it's my job to look after it. ♪ >>> welcome back to this "kudlow report." we're all used to financial titans squaring off but it's usually in a board room, not a cable television. a long standing grudge between bill ackman and icahn turned into a slug fest. and bobby jindal said the republican party needs to grow up and start being the stupid party. >> the fbi reports they are investigating senator bob menendez on accusations he purchased prostitutes and attended sex parties in the dominican republic. he has rejected this party for months and much of this story frankly is still unconfirmed. joining to us explain the allegations and the newly surfaced evidence, executive editor at "the daily caller." what is the new evidence that has emerged? >> about 36 hours ago we received a cache of documents, about 58 pages of e-
we need to protect their environment. we have a strict quarantine system to protect the integrity of the environment. forty years on, it's still a class-a nature reserve. it's our job to look after them. ...it's my job to look after it. ♪ >>> welcome back to this "kudlow report." we're all used to financial titans squaring off but it's usually in a board room, not a cable television. a long standing grudge between bill ackman and icahn turned into a slug fest. and bobby...
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Jan 28, 2013
01/13
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unlike the previous speaker because i think the regular story environment for banks is going to make it tougher for them to get the kind of earnings growth we like to see over the next six years. >> harry, do you see a change in the composition of the dow 30 in the next five or six years? >> i've always thought that hewlett-packard may eventually be in there. i think apple should be in there. they're not finished. they have a lot of innovation to go. i think hewlett-packard is sort of an old line while apple is a new line in the dow. i'd like to see that replacement potentially. >> so what was the problem with boeing and caterpillar? why didn't you pick them? >> i picked in bottom of '09 and ford. i think caterpillar has a lot of competition. several aircraft manufacturers are going to challenge boeing. i'd like to wait and see what happens with that one. i think i'd just shy away from that for now. fantastic company. there again, huge competition from china and japan in manufacturing the large equipment they're so good at. so i think there will be others. regulation may hurt financi
unlike the previous speaker because i think the regular story environment for banks is going to make it tougher for them to get the kind of earnings growth we like to see over the next six years. >> harry, do you see a change in the composition of the dow 30 in the next five or six years? >> i've always thought that hewlett-packard may eventually be in there. i think apple should be in there. they're not finished. they have a lot of innovation to go. i think hewlett-packard is sort...
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Jan 24, 2013
01/13
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now we've got the right costs for the new environment we're in. and is this a cross to the board picture? >> definitely. banking ultimately is such for the underlying economy. so i think it doesn't take an economy to tell us that the next couple of years is going to be choppy and not the growth we've had for the last 20 years. banking has to go back to basics. fist, think about your revenue and cost base. here on the cost base, huge improvements. they've always been unmanaged because the revenue is growing so, you know, clearly matched to pay people twice as much as we have to. today, people working from i.t. to legal to front office staff to traders, everyone in my view is clearly overbased. given the number of job opportunities that are there, i think banks cap capitalization. they should tell management, cut your costs. and i am sure people would be very happy. >> we're going to see a lot more come on the compensation levels. how should they measure compensation? particularly in banking? >> certainly. so first of all, up to now in investment ba
now we've got the right costs for the new environment we're in. and is this a cross to the board picture? >> definitely. banking ultimately is such for the underlying economy. so i think it doesn't take an economy to tell us that the next couple of years is going to be choppy and not the growth we've had for the last 20 years. banking has to go back to basics. fist, think about your revenue and cost base. here on the cost base, huge improvements. they've always been unmanaged because the...
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Jan 28, 2013
01/13
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and that's a great environment for stox. now, the key thing is this whole notion with respect to when investors will be selling bond funds into equity funds. let's not get too excited. we had strong inflows in january of 2010 but that was after a double digit advance in 2009. some could be asset allocation. needs to see all of this develop over a longer period of time. not just because stocks were up last year. >> are they going to be pushed, though, by the fact that you have rates going -- i mean 10-year yield is at 2%. the investors are already being pushed to find something somewhere. >> here's the trigger. when liz ann's clients at schwab open up and see a negative sign to their bond fund that they purchased in 2012, that will be the impetus. when they see and feel that they're losing money in the -- >> that it hasn't worked. >> they're losing money. they weren't supposed to lose money. that was supposed to be their safety net. when they feel that pain, that's when you'll see a more concerted effort. >> is that the catal
and that's a great environment for stox. now, the key thing is this whole notion with respect to when investors will be selling bond funds into equity funds. let's not get too excited. we had strong inflows in january of 2010 but that was after a double digit advance in 2009. some could be asset allocation. needs to see all of this develop over a longer period of time. not just because stocks were up last year. >> are they going to be pushed, though, by the fact that you have rates going...
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Jan 24, 2013
01/13
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. >> gina, let's talk about the macro environment. it is getting better. and what the market looks for is those -- those incremental data points, the new pieces of news. whether they're actually really good or just a little bit better than people expected or better than bad. so where are your thoughts on the economy, here in the states as well as globally, and how do you position for that? >> right. so when we look at the broader economic landscape, we use the leading economic indicators index which improved a touch in december. but it is still down on a year over year basis. or decelerating i should say on a year over year basis, tends to be the best leading indicator of earnings growth for the s&p 500 over time. i think unfortunately this is all perceptions with respect to the economic data. instead the leis are continuing to decelerate. some of the leading indicators have done a little bit of better in the december, november, december period versus the prior three months. but on the longer term scale, we see this ongoing desell ration. >> you don't thin
. >> gina, let's talk about the macro environment. it is getting better. and what the market looks for is those -- those incremental data points, the new pieces of news. whether they're actually really good or just a little bit better than people expected or better than bad. so where are your thoughts on the economy, here in the states as well as globally, and how do you position for that? >> right. so when we look at the broader economic landscape, we use the leading economic...
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Jan 28, 2013
01/13
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in today's environment, when you're running your operations at 50% of capacity, do you really think you're not going to be competitive? >> please join me in welcoming our 44th president to peoria. >> president obama visited caterpillar to promote the stimulus package. but jim owens said that even with the stimulus, he may have to lay off more workers before seeing a turnaround. and he told us any gain from domestic spending may not be enough if "buy american" triggers a global trade war. what happens if all these countries that sell steel to us-- china, russia, brazil-- say, "okay, well, we're just not going to buy caterpillar products; we're not going to take in john deere products; we're not going to take in g.e. products"? >> the only trade war that's going on is being waged on us. and when you don't hold people accountable for playing by the rules they agreed to, that have access to your market, you're basically saying anything goes. that's garbage. that's baloney. and the american people won't stand for it. >> the "buy american" provision in the 2009 economic stimulus package requires
in today's environment, when you're running your operations at 50% of capacity, do you really think you're not going to be competitive? >> please join me in welcoming our 44th president to peoria. >> president obama visited caterpillar to promote the stimulus package. but jim owens said that even with the stimulus, he may have to lay off more workers before seeing a turnaround. and he told us any gain from domestic spending may not be enough if "buy american" triggers a...
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Feb 1, 2013
02/13
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a lot of people say you're a dummy if you stay if bond in this environment. if we have sound from leon cooperman, let's deliver it. because this is what he says with sharp words in why to look at equities. >> do we have it? >> stocks are cheap against inflation, cheap against their own history, cheap against interest rates. and they are allowing for slower secular economic growth and allowing for higher interest rates. buying it is like walking in front of a steam roller to pick up a dime. just an very advisable policy. >> brian, do you love that? walking in front after steam roller to pick up a dime. that what you are doing if you invest in fixed income. you've got look at equities. >> would that great rotation be bigger than the cash on side lines? i don't have any idea how much is in the bond market versus how much is under the mattress. no one probably da z. >> it is hard to guess for the entire market. if you look at the fund flow data, you will see people are favoring equity. there was a huge inflow in the middle of january, about $62 billion in equity
a lot of people say you're a dummy if you stay if bond in this environment. if we have sound from leon cooperman, let's deliver it. because this is what he says with sharp words in why to look at equities. >> do we have it? >> stocks are cheap against inflation, cheap against their own history, cheap against interest rates. and they are allowing for slower secular economic growth and allowing for higher interest rates. buying it is like walking in front of a steam roller to pick up...
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Jan 29, 2013
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in this environment and it's harder to provide guaranteed returns, is that a declining revenue stream? >> the problem with life insurers is a lot of their products they sell are discretionary. as people have less income and maybe they can't pay their mortgages, firstly, the top line is going to go down. secondly, as you say, a lot of life insurance profit is dictated by the return. as returns are low, property is under pressure. >> they have sold a lot of structure products to higher end investors. are those in decline, as well? >> yeah. i think a lot of complex analogies. >> and we have sovereignty two coming up which they keep fighting against. do we know what the full impact is going to be? >> it's still in debate. so i think the impact will be an improvement in risk management across the industry. that's a big win in the industry for a whole. they have more on the guarantee they offer and a more wholistic regime should make the industry stronger. >> and in the meantime, we can figure out whether the uk is leaving the eu. >> and then the uk has to worry about selling their products
in this environment and it's harder to provide guaranteed returns, is that a declining revenue stream? >> the problem with life insurers is a lot of their products they sell are discretionary. as people have less income and maybe they can't pay their mortgages, firstly, the top line is going to go down. secondly, as you say, a lot of life insurance profit is dictated by the return. as returns are low, property is under pressure. >> they have sold a lot of structure products to...
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Feb 1, 2013
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. >> peter, check your ideology at the door in this environment and recognize -- whether we like it or not, this is the world we live in. we've got to navigate it. no one asked me if i like the fed policy. >> right, right. >> let's make that the last word, too. >> it is what it is. >> well, you're living in the world, you should understand it. you might like it. you've got to understand it. >> i don't disagree with that. >> great conversation. appreciate it. >> how is that for a wake you up? >> we are awake. look at these markets, everybody. 14,000 on the dow jones industrial average. up 143 points. 45 minutes left to the day and for the trading week. >> and coming up, the market blowing right by a less than stallary jobs report and an ugly gdp report. is it because those reports support the fed forever plan? think we were just having a little bit of that conversation. >> fed forever. and not everybody is a believer in this rally. got some big bears out there, and they are growling about a major selloff on the horizon. stay tuned for our wall street group of rally questioners? rally ha
. >> peter, check your ideology at the door in this environment and recognize -- whether we like it or not, this is the world we live in. we've got to navigate it. no one asked me if i like the fed policy. >> right, right. >> let's make that the last word, too. >> it is what it is. >> well, you're living in the world, you should understand it. you might like it. you've got to understand it. >> i don't disagree with that. >> great conversation....
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Jan 25, 2013
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we set expectations below normal seasonal guidance out of respect for that environment. and what really happened, the sequential story is very, very strong. the numbers you talked about t even organically speaking, we included some m&a, but t even organically speaking, we were ahead of normal expectations, particularly on you are i.t. business. and what i would tell you is there was certainly a factor of that delay and deferral we talked about in september that actually came in strong in december. >> well, look, you go over the conference calls pretty extraordinary. you talk about europe. you say a lot of it's eastern europe, uk and germany. i mean, there had been weak demand for two years, but demand grew 20%? how is that possible? >> no, it was somewhat aided by a recent acquisition we closed early in the quarter overall. what i would tell you is on an organic basis, our european computer business is still down double digits year-on-year, though. >> that's fair, but you did say positive things about how this month's going. for your company and also that inventory's low
we set expectations below normal seasonal guidance out of respect for that environment. and what really happened, the sequential story is very, very strong. the numbers you talked about t even organically speaking, we included some m&a, but t even organically speaking, we were ahead of normal expectations, particularly on you are i.t. business. and what i would tell you is there was certainly a factor of that delay and deferral we talked about in september that actually came in strong in...
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Jan 28, 2013
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there will be questions about what, about the environment, leads them to these particular numbers. also question about strength in search and whether they'll continue to see that strength. and the relative weakness in display advertising versus what people have been expecting. seems like they were getting better pricing on display ads but a lot fewer of the ads appearing. i expect if that's due to a shift to smartphones where yahoo! doesn't have a lot of adds right now and if they expect to monetize that traffic soon. >> jon, thank you so much. keep us posted on the developments there. revenue came in at $520 million versus a consensus of about $554 million. where do you stand on yahoo! at this point, tim? >> i stand on based what they're going to do with their buy-back. this stock was up 18%. i think people are waiting on this and waiting to see how they can monetize the rest of the balance sheet. i don't see a whole lot of organic growth. i think melissa has done a great job trying to bring forth this value. i don't need to own this stock. i think these are the drivers, people ar
there will be questions about what, about the environment, leads them to these particular numbers. also question about strength in search and whether they'll continue to see that strength. and the relative weakness in display advertising versus what people have been expecting. seems like they were getting better pricing on display ads but a lot fewer of the ads appearing. i expect if that's due to a shift to smartphones where yahoo! doesn't have a lot of adds right now and if they expect to...
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Jan 30, 2013
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in this environment it's not going to happen. >> to bring you back, is there any sense at all that the full in borrowing cost for the spanish government is going to feed through into the wider economy? i spoke on friday to the economic affairs minister. he told me this is what's going to happen -- now that borrowing costs are down it will feed through to the real economy. do you think that's going to happen or not? >> i hope yes because really we need some new measures. and we need some help to keep on growing again, as i was saying before. really, the -- what's going to say prime minister to all the investors. we have problems in the banking system with banking as you tell before. we have problem with the bank, and we need to -- a solution, to solve. with the meeting this morning with the president of the euro group, mr. junker, not tell any news about how will be the new measure. we are waiting and waiting and hoping that the new measures could be really strong, could be really positive. almost -- almost we're wishful that we could see cuts for the entrepreneurs, from the small and m
in this environment it's not going to happen. >> to bring you back, is there any sense at all that the full in borrowing cost for the spanish government is going to feed through into the wider economy? i spoke on friday to the economic affairs minister. he told me this is what's going to happen -- now that borrowing costs are down it will feed through to the real economy. do you think that's going to happen or not? >> i hope yes because really we need some new measures. and we need...
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Jan 25, 2013
01/13
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of course, it's a challenging environment. but i think it's something that is quite possible to happen. >> i was looking at some numbers and nearly 1% gdp growth this year is the target for growth in mexico. that's four times the pace of brazil. double the united states. because of that, you're seeing this huge inflow in money and business activity. are those targets accurate? >> yeah. i think this year we should be in the range between 3 1/2 and 4% growth. and it is a good growth rate if you compare it with other countries in the world with some latin countries in the continent. but it's not enough. mexico is still an emerging country. we have a substantial amount of people still in poverty. and we need the to grow faster and at a steady te that's why productivity is so important. and we have fantastic samples of competitive in mexico. we need to make productivity something that is variable to the overall pop laying to the majority of mexico. and that's why it's important to do this crosswide reforms that can have a broad imp
of course, it's a challenging environment. but i think it's something that is quite possible to happen. >> i was looking at some numbers and nearly 1% gdp growth this year is the target for growth in mexico. that's four times the pace of brazil. double the united states. because of that, you're seeing this huge inflow in money and business activity. are those targets accurate? >> yeah. i think this year we should be in the range between 3 1/2 and 4% growth. and it is a good growth...
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Jan 28, 2013
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granted, the environment's gotten better. but there are many things we can learn from what happened in 2012. first of all, as difficult as last year may have seemed at times, the overall ipo market was pretty darn robust. in terms of price appreciation, the public company was up 20.5% versus 13.4% gain, the s&p 500. in 2012, ipos gave you an average first-day spike, that's not too shabby. however, while the general direction was up, it was a major divergence within 2012's cohort. a lot of winners and quite a few losers too. what separated the winners from losers? what made the difference between an ipo that popped huge on the first day of trading and kept running and one that did a big fat belly flop? simple, one word, growth. last year the ipos with real sustainable unquestionable growth were the best performers. and this is a dynamic that only continued in 2013 where the market's appetite for growth cannot be sated. consider 2012's best-performing ipos. top eight performers each gave you at least about a double. it's an imp
granted, the environment's gotten better. but there are many things we can learn from what happened in 2012. first of all, as difficult as last year may have seemed at times, the overall ipo market was pretty darn robust. in terms of price appreciation, the public company was up 20.5% versus 13.4% gain, the s&p 500. in 2012, ipos gave you an average first-day spike, that's not too shabby. however, while the general direction was up, it was a major divergence within 2012's cohort. a lot of...
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Feb 1, 2013
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looking away, this interest rates environment is tough on earnings. at anton say, looking for capital higher rates. we'll bev it there. thanks for having you on the prom. bank stocks long a lowered for this market. see if they take the lead once again in this bull market. a lot more headed your way on this special dow 14,000. bahl and he's up next exclusively with me. >>> and is this the start of a long bull market? john bolinger weighs in to check out the charts and tell us what he sees. back in a moment. tdd# 1-800-345-2550 you should've seen me today. tdd# 1-800-345-2550 when the spx crossed above its 50-day moving average, tdd# 1-800-345-2550 i saw the trend. tdd# 1-800-345-2550 it looked really strong. tdd# 1-800-345-2550 and i jumped right on it. tdd# 1-800-345-2550 tdd# 1-800-345-2550 since i've switched to charles schwab... tdd# 1-800-345-2550 ...i've been finding opportunities like this tdd# 1-800-345-2550 a lot more easily. tdd# 1-800-345-2550 like today, tdd# 1-800-345-2550 i was using their streetsmart edge trading platform tdd# 1-800-345-
looking away, this interest rates environment is tough on earnings. at anton say, looking for capital higher rates. we'll bev it there. thanks for having you on the prom. bank stocks long a lowered for this market. see if they take the lead once again in this bull market. a lot more headed your way on this special dow 14,000. bahl and he's up next exclusively with me. >>> and is this the start of a long bull market? john bolinger weighs in to check out the charts and tell us what he...
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Feb 1, 2013
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right, we experienced expansion when many others are feeling the pressure of the slow interest rate environment. we pulled a lot of levers in our liability side, lowered our cost of interest bearing deposits and liabilities and also grew loans, which has been really helpful. >> we've been very bullish on "mad money" on the midwestern region because of the resurgence of manufacturing. do you think some of your strength also comes from the fact of where you're located? >> i will tell you absolutely this regional economy in the midwest and extending up into the northeast where we have a significant part of our franchise is what i was called first in to the recession and has been first out. we've seen industrial and manufacturing come back strong and we're well-positioned to not only lend into that but really capitalize on a wide range of opportunities there. so that has been a real growth area and a strength for us. >> okay. now this morning, bernstein research, in a piece i didn't really care for but i wanted to get your response, they took key from a hold to a sell, saying that it would probably
right, we experienced expansion when many others are feeling the pressure of the slow interest rate environment. we pulled a lot of levers in our liability side, lowered our cost of interest bearing deposits and liabilities and also grew loans, which has been really helpful. >> we've been very bullish on "mad money" on the midwestern region because of the resurgence of manufacturing. do you think some of your strength also comes from the fact of where you're located? >> i...
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Jan 25, 2013
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we need to protect their environment. we have a strict quarantine system to protect the integrity of the environment. forty years on, it's still a class-a nature reserve. it's our job to look after them. ...it's my job to look after it. ♪ >>> good morning. welcome back to "squawk on the street." look at shares of halliburton, popping higher after releasing the fourth quarter earnings report. revenue higher than expectations as well. comments on the outlook contributing to gains today. the company saying it sees 2013 eastern hemisphere margins averaging in the upper teens. that forecast better than expectations. the stock popping more than 4%. >> thank you very much, jackie. in the last 30 minutes, bright horizons family solutions surged on the big board debut at the nyse. bfam is the ticker. currently trading, up $6.25. joining us on a first cnbc interview, david lissy. good morning. congratulations. >> good morning, simon. good to be here. >> you had a two-week road show. how difficult a sale was this to people? >> we'
we need to protect their environment. we have a strict quarantine system to protect the integrity of the environment. forty years on, it's still a class-a nature reserve. it's our job to look after them. ...it's my job to look after it. ♪ >>> good morning. welcome back to "squawk on the street." look at shares of halliburton, popping higher after releasing the fourth quarter earnings report. revenue higher than expectations as well. comments on the outlook contributing to...
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Jan 29, 2013
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. >> the environment there continues to be very, very tough. we do think, perhaps, it's a trough in '12 and '13 but we'll have to wait and see. >> that's the bad news. the good news for ford continues to be in north america. look at the profits, $1.872 billion in the fourth quarter. that's almost a billion dollars more than the fourth quarter last year. profit margins above 10%. that's impressive especially in an auto industry where 7 and 8% in north america used to be considered good. what's driving north america, stronger pricing, stronger sales. the profit margins, however, this is one thing that concerns people, the profit margins are expected to stay level in 2013, not grow in north america. still over 10% is impressive for a company a few years ago had no profit margins. >> very good point. phil, thank you. twinkies, one step closer to a new home. private firm apollo and metro polos a looking at a deal to buy from hostess. they are reporting that bid will be more than $400 million. so far everyone involved has declined to comment. we are
. >> the environment there continues to be very, very tough. we do think, perhaps, it's a trough in '12 and '13 but we'll have to wait and see. >> that's the bad news. the good news for ford continues to be in north america. look at the profits, $1.872 billion in the fourth quarter. that's almost a billion dollars more than the fourth quarter last year. profit margins above 10%. that's impressive especially in an auto industry where 7 and 8% in north america used to be considered...
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Jan 24, 2013
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that you need long-term stable environments. because when we look into plants or other investments we look out 10, 15 years. >> sounds like you're saying it was a mistake to make this speech. >> i'm not saying anything. you're asking me how do i believe investment positions could be affected. >> the other topic we've been talking about has been energy and energy policy in the united states. and it was making me think given the possibility of fracking and shale and everything else going on, does that give you any sense that you would make additional investments in the united states? >> andrew, already done. i think what we've seen in the united states is a great example that the energy direction of the united states is really competitiveness agenda. we see reindustrialization initiatives already happening. chemicals are coming back to the u.s. we will see further industrial build-out coming back to the united states. for us in twofolds it's a great growth business opportunities, for big and most modern gas turbine plant which we
that you need long-term stable environments. because when we look into plants or other investments we look out 10, 15 years. >> sounds like you're saying it was a mistake to make this speech. >> i'm not saying anything. you're asking me how do i believe investment positions could be affected. >> the other topic we've been talking about has been energy and energy policy in the united states. and it was making me think given the possibility of fracking and shale and everything...
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Feb 1, 2013
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. >> so it creates a competitive environment? >> the most and it's great for their reputation, their reel and it's wonderful when you can go and do business pictures and you have this repertoire of great iconic ads that you've done. >> you own many agencies now. which one do you like most? it's saying which child do you like better, but -- >> 72 and sunny was one of our two new agencies that we acquired a partnership interest. they're awarded agency of the year. they're the ones who did the samsung spots that were really iconic in terms of their impact. >> yeah. >> and it was phenomenal. so we're lucky. we have six extraordinary agencies out of the 60 that are -- >> chrispin, of course, was for many years the hottest. >> and a new firm called the anomaly. >> do these things go in cycles? >> probably. probably. but i think -- >> is that part of your model, though? >> it's the back entrepreneurial firms who understand how consumers consume input in an evolving and emerging technolei technologyal environment. but the one thing i wil
. >> so it creates a competitive environment? >> the most and it's great for their reputation, their reel and it's wonderful when you can go and do business pictures and you have this repertoire of great iconic ads that you've done. >> you own many agencies now. which one do you like most? it's saying which child do you like better, but -- >> 72 and sunny was one of our two new agencies that we acquired a partnership interest. they're awarded agency of the year. they're...
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Jan 31, 2013
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in terms of the environment for a housing ipo, this could be a very good day. already, they had to increase the size of the offering they prize above the range, $17, putting the valuation of the company more than $500 million t is going to trade at the post right behind us, we will get the inside scoop on where this thing looks like it will open. >> california this is a california home builder, san francisco area. also southern. look, when you go to the website, they are selling them like hot cakes. >> single-family homes. >> what does that say? california home builder going public? >> my, how far we've come. >> pulte's down, jim. >> pulte is down, jim. >> thank you. thank you for that wet blanket. that wet electric blanket. >> a wet signed blanket. >> anything else you need me to tell you? >> whatever you want. >> speaking of housing, we are going to talk to fettig from whirlpool in the 11 this morning. pricing is getting better but volume is not matching at all what new homes are doing. >> surprising, low single digits, the companies make a lot of money. they
in terms of the environment for a housing ipo, this could be a very good day. already, they had to increase the size of the offering they prize above the range, $17, putting the valuation of the company more than $500 million t is going to trade at the post right behind us, we will get the inside scoop on where this thing looks like it will open. >> california this is a california home builder, san francisco area. also southern. look, when you go to the website, they are selling them like...
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Jan 25, 2013
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>> the commodity environment we saw the last few years. certainly a better environment from a foreign exchange standpoint. multinational company earning profits. >> forex. and europe is better? >> europe, northern europe is pretty good. southern europe is still a challenge, because your previous guest would indicate. >> all right. you don't sell a lot of soap in certain countries over there. no, i'm kidding! i don't mean to -- i don't mean, you know, deodorant in one country in particular. let me think, anything else, jon, china? how's asia? >> asia is good. china is good. we grew high single digits in china. we expect that to accelerate as the year progresses. so generally our developing market business is very healthy. we grew 7% overall. 11% in the brick markets. over 20% in brazil and india. so that continues to be where a disproportionate amount of growth is coming. at the same time we're strengthening our develop market business which is starting to accelerate a little bit. >> thanks, john. hope to see you again next quarter so we ca
>> the commodity environment we saw the last few years. certainly a better environment from a foreign exchange standpoint. multinational company earning profits. >> forex. and europe is better? >> europe, northern europe is pretty good. southern europe is still a challenge, because your previous guest would indicate. >> all right. you don't sell a lot of soap in certain countries over there. no, i'm kidding! i don't mean to -- i don't mean, you know, deodorant in one...
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Jan 24, 2013
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we need to protect their environment. we have a strict quarantine system to protect the integrity of the environment. forty years on, it's still a class-a nature reserve. it's our job to look after them. ...it's my job to look after it. ♪ >>> nice to have simon back to put europe in perspective, especially on a day where we got a few data points. >> we had a lot of data out today. spanish unemployment rising to a record 26%. there is one thing that i want to draw to your attention through that data. >> the european markets are closing now. >> and you can see it is positive. we added to the gains in europe. they were up about .1% at 6:00 a.m. new york time this morning. with 100 point rally on the dow, we got past the apple shock in terms of global market moves and you can see that reflected in western europe. the one data point i want to draw to your attention today is that the composite pmi for the eurozone is rising. it is still below 50. so we're still slightly contracting in europe, but at 48.2. jpmorgan is saying w
we need to protect their environment. we have a strict quarantine system to protect the integrity of the environment. forty years on, it's still a class-a nature reserve. it's our job to look after them. ...it's my job to look after it. ♪ >>> nice to have simon back to put europe in perspective, especially on a day where we got a few data points. >> we had a lot of data out today. spanish unemployment rising to a record 26%. there is one thing that i want to draw to your...
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Feb 1, 2013
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the subprime leaching into the environment. that hasn't happened here anywhere. as you noted, companies are leaner, meaner, and as a result, can handle any kind of volatility much better. they've learned, unfortunately, through a very bad experience how to do that. number three, parts of the world are not participating. europe economically, china picking up now from a lower point, countries like india struggling. so there are other parts of the world that could do better and join in on the earnings growth. the last one, an an important one, is what are your comparative yields elsewhere. where are your alternatives in terms of investing. and the valuation today, if you look at what we call the normalized earnings gap, take 10-year average earnings, inverted pe, you look at the bond yield five years into the future based on futures contract, you're at a level now that would argue 97% of the market gains in the next six months. >> let me pick up on that yield argument. because the logical conclusion, as sure as day follows night, from what you're saying, this optimi
the subprime leaching into the environment. that hasn't happened here anywhere. as you noted, companies are leaner, meaner, and as a result, can handle any kind of volatility much better. they've learned, unfortunately, through a very bad experience how to do that. number three, parts of the world are not participating. europe economically, china picking up now from a lower point, countries like india struggling. so there are other parts of the world that could do better and join in on the...
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Jan 30, 2013
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i think that the low interest rate environment is not over for the long end of the market. i think that there's a possibility that we haven't even seen the low on the ten-year yield. you know -- >> what? >> a lot of stuff has to happen for that. >> nothing good. >> well, probably nothing good. no. i think we are reacting, you know, part of the -- one of the reasons that the market started it come down over the last few weeks was an interpretation of the minutes from the latest fed meeting that were taken as somewhat hawkish which i think was just a matter of a misinterpretation of the fed rather than the fed being hawkish. the fed in december did the most accommodative thing they have ever done. you know, they told us they'll be buying for some amount of time, $85 billion securities every month. and take the -- the balance sheet from the $2.9 trillion that it ended the year at, up, you know, annualized rate of an additional trillion. now the -- the key is the fed doesn't know how long that will go. it's tied to the progress in the labor market. but you know, i don't think t
i think that the low interest rate environment is not over for the long end of the market. i think that there's a possibility that we haven't even seen the low on the ten-year yield. you know -- >> what? >> a lot of stuff has to happen for that. >> nothing good. >> well, probably nothing good. no. i think we are reacting, you know, part of the -- one of the reasons that the market started it come down over the last few weeks was an interpretation of the minutes from the...
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Jan 28, 2013
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retailers, we're operating within the irish domestic market exclusively, it's a very, very different environment with awkward rent reviews, public sector costs are highly uncompetitive right across costs such as wages. other local authority charges on retailers in particular and those with large industrial premises within the country and we also have a domestic mortgage crisis with the banks. >> now, ryanair shares are under pressure today. you can see they're trading down by better than 2%, in fact, taking the sector down, too. ez-jet is one of the worst performers on the stoxx 600 today. ryanair is roughly flat over the past seven days, so marginally higher from where we were a week ago on the back of those comments. >>> we are going to head out to tokyo as toyota reclaims the crown from gm as the world's biggest carmaker. we'll get the latest from egypt as president morsi declares a month-long state of emergency. dozens of people have been killed over anti-government protests. we'll take a view on equities, too. the dow, as we said, is on pace for its best january since 1989. and, again, for
retailers, we're operating within the irish domestic market exclusively, it's a very, very different environment with awkward rent reviews, public sector costs are highly uncompetitive right across costs such as wages. other local authority charges on retailers in particular and those with large industrial premises within the country and we also have a domestic mortgage crisis with the banks. >> now, ryanair shares are under pressure today. you can see they're trading down by better than...
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Jan 31, 2013
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what do you do in that environment? you make sure you're figuring out ways to grow organically. you make sure that you're continuing to be lean in your performance as best as possible. and you look at your portfolio. >> steve real quick in the board room confidence level if confidence was off the charts in 2007 at one to ten they were at a ten, what is it now? >> i think right now, six. and an opportunity, i'm really feeling some optimism, people think we're going to get it together in this country. >> steve thank you for being here this morning. >> thanks for having me. >> appreciate it very much. >> coming up, "squawk" is going to -- didn't have time top i tried to get some yes. tomorrow we have the kansas drummer. you really cleaned yourself up from when you were the guitar player for yes, steve howe, and the pitcher that actually he's dead i think so you're doing a lot better than him. >> i live a cleaner life. >> than either steve howe. tyler mathisen will join us to talk about his new documentary, speaking of steve howe. debt. it's a living. >>> tomorrow on "squawk box," i
what do you do in that environment? you make sure you're figuring out ways to grow organically. you make sure that you're continuing to be lean in your performance as best as possible. and you look at your portfolio. >> steve real quick in the board room confidence level if confidence was off the charts in 2007 at one to ten they were at a ten, what is it now? >> i think right now, six. and an opportunity, i'm really feeling some optimism, people think we're going to get it together...